Introducing the Trump BackTracker | April 2017 Edition

By Maria Belenky and Joel Finkelstein
Climate & Energy, Transformative Analysis

The Trump BackTracker is a new, regularly updated analysis of all of climate policies on the books and in the pipeline at the end of the Obama administration – ranked by how vulnerable they are to backtracking by the Trump administration, and what that means for U.S. climate pollution trajectory.

Our first update to the Backtracker looks at where things stand near the end of President Trump’s first 100 days in office. We found that the “Trump Effect” really begins to bite into the U.S. emissions trajectory in 2025 – since many of the factors influencing today’s emissions trajectory can’t be reversed quickly.

We found:

  • The Trump Effect could mean over half a gigaton more climate pollution in 2025. That’s about the same as the emissions from electricity use for 60% of the homes in the entire country.
  • Of the Obama 2015 climate goals, a whopping 332 million metric tons (mmt) of climate pollution cuts in 2025 – or 55%– currently come from policies that we judge highly vulnerable.
  • 229 million tons, or 38%, come from moderately vulnerable policies. And just 7% of potential emissions cuts, or 45 mmt, are relatively safe and just rated “vulnerable.”

The policy-by-policy analysis, and visualizations that put the impacts in context, are all available and will be updated at www.climateadvisers.com/trumpbacktracker.

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On April 20, 2017

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